What we've lost, Episode 3:

Voting for something positive

The latest YouGov opinion poll shows what looks at first sight like a quantum shift in the structure of UK politics. But is it really?

YouGov’s second opinion survey since the 2024 British general election shows Reform UK within touching distance of winning a Westminster Parliamentary majority.

The central projection of YouGov's latest study among 13,000 voters shows Reform UK would win 311 seats were an election held tomorrow.

However, if you drill down into the raw stats, there are some fascinating [aka disturbing] oddities in there....and as a trained psephologist, I find these hard to ignore.

On the one hand, the respondent voting intentions look like an existential annihilation of the old Tory/Labour duopoly: the Starmer Labour Party would lose a staggering 267 seats, and indeed the Conservative Party would be reduced to a rump of just 45 seats in total.

But most of the seats that Reform UK are predicted to win suggest a victory margin of around five per cent in almost every case.

Such narrow margins are indicative of 'tactical' rather than 'conviction' voting.

What we are probably looking at here is electors voting AGAINST what they DON'T want, rather than voting FOR something positive that they'd PREFER as a tribal culture.

The British electorate doesn't want digital ID cards, doesn't want to be swamped by Third World extremists, doesn't want to be dragged kicking and screaming back into a corrupt and undemocratic EU, and doesn't want to give up its Statehood in favour of a dictatorial NWO corporacratic regime.

But the Brits are far from being alone in the Negativity Choice being offered to them by the 3D New World Order that continues to Distract, Deceive and Dissemble in its never-ending mission to destroy Truth.

Everywhere now, there is division. 1 in 3 US citizens think America is not doing enough to help Ukraine, and 1 in 5 think it's costing far too much. Earlier in the summer, pollsters claimed that US voters were in favour of legal inward migration...but since July, it's become clear that much of the immigration isn't legal and has in some cases weaponised by radicals and the BLM Democrats. New data last week from Reuters/Ipsos found Republicans approving of Trump's tough take on crime and immigration by large margins in the light of Charlie Kirk's assassination....but the killing itself is coming under scrutiny as evidence appears to suggest yet another attempt to polarise opinion and set Americans against each other.

As always in 2025, who do we believe, what info can we rely on and where have the certainties gone?

But one element in all this - orchestrated mass migration - is now the main cause of a push-back against the Four Per Cent that is sweeping across the First World....in France, 72% of adults now see a clear link between immigration and threats to domestic security. 67% of Germans now favor permanent border controls, 80% of Spaniards believe immigration has been poorly controled, and an Italian referendum on migrants was declared invalid because so many citizens boycotted it as a blatant attempt by Brussels to whitewash the immigration issue.

In the UK, a more profound depth of dissatisfation on migration policy has driven the spectacular growth of AdvanceUK and rising influence of Tommy Robinson.

But such developments - while entirely understandable - serve only to draw attention away from what this writer still sees as the overwhemingly important reform issue of our time - the international Central Banking structure, the incontinent State expenditure that delivers only disastrous Sovereign debt, the crazy level of above-the-law status granted over the years to unaccountable banks and investment giants, and over-dependence on credit to maintain the sacred cow called 'growth' that still pretends to be capitalism but is in fact naked monopolism.

Would the Reform Party ever adopt the radical reform required in tackling debt...in and of itself, a far bigger threat to our liberties than anything else?

With Nigel Farage at the wheel? I very much doubt it.

What is the Reform policy on digital currencies? On access to money being in the hands of the Satanic Duo of smarphone providors and Silicon Valley?

Does it stand for more rigorous policing of Bourse directionalising?

Can fiat currencies be tolerated any longer....should backing for the Promise to Pay be a table stake from here on?

These issues are going to dwarf everything else. Voting for a return to mutualist socio-economic honesty is a far more decisive move for every elector than simply 'more control'. More control can all too easily turn into justification of yet more anti-libertarian diktats.

Enjoy the rest of your weekend.